Multifamily Shows Strong Prospects For The Next Few Years
Posted by Artur Ciesielski on Monday, January 23rd, 2012 at 6:30pm.An indication of the popularity of multifamily properties is the obvious lack of inventory and the activity when decent properties do hit the market. There is no doubt, small multifamily properties are popular with real estate investors.
The 2-15 unit complexes did get hit pretty bad. There was a lot of speculation, what seems like many years ago in 2003-2007. Many of these properties shot up sky high in price and found willing buyers. Of course, as we all know, most of these came crashing down and went through the arduous short sale or REO process to new owners who often got them at mid 1980's to mid 1990's prices and pretty much instant awesome returns.
The larger complexes in the commercial realm never really hit on bad times. What did happen is that construction of new units went down dramatically so rental demand for what was left was pretty high. Also some of the larger complex owners were able to more easily restructure loans, though I know a few owners who, through some diligent work were able to do the same with their fourplexes, but those are rare cases.
I got a little off track, though.
A recent report titled 'The Year Ahead, Real Estate's Best Bets in 2012' by Robert Freedman and Nichole Odijk DeMario in the Realtor magazine, indicates the following trends.
2011
Vacancy rate: 5.4% | Rental rate change: 2.5% | Net Absorption: 238,398
2012
Vacancy rate: 4.6% | Rental rate change: 3.5% | Net Absorption: 126,621
2013
Vacancy rate: 4.5% | Rental rate change: 3.8% | Net Absorption: 102,687
They also note:
"Apartment rentals are once again expected to be the best-performing commercial sector."
Written by: Artur Ciesielski | tel. 602.492.8004 | e-mail: artur@inphoenix.com
Artur is a Realtor and partner with inPhoenix Realty Group of HomeSmart Elite Group and imStudio and an aspiring flaneur, in the style of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's essay on "why I walk" - not the Canadian meaning. "Some of my best experiences and memories are from walking cities, ignoring warnings of bad and good." Currently he's in Phoenix or elsewhere when time allows, which is rarely, but that is going to change. You can find him running up miles on his car listening to NPR, cycling the urban Phoenix, in the office on Central or working at one of the many coffee bars in Urban Phoenix.
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