In
recent years real estate investors could console them selves in the
rather high rate of appreciation or inflation as a hedge against high
prices paid for properties, but we all knew deep down that it could not
last. Many had the foresight to get out and others, reasonably
thought, that we'd see a correction which would be slight or a simple
leveling of prices but nothing like this huge pricing correction we are
seeing and in many parts of the Phoenix valley, an over correction.
Had
an investor purchased a property with prudence then the drop in price
really would have no affect on him/her in the short run because either
the purchase was at a break even or had cash flow. Had it even been
purchased at break even a couple of years would be enough to see a cash
flow and if the purchase was a good one then each year the cash flow
would increase especially in a market with so many inflationary
pressures.
What we have really entered is the cash flow economy at least for real estate investors.
In an investment purchase there are several ways to make money on a
property: speculation, cash-flow, redevelopment and so on: but, for now
the speculative age is over. Since we are unlikely to see appreciation
in the coming years cash flow will have to make up the major part of
the investment return.
In
fact most of the successful real estate investors, at least those who
are successful according to the following measure - the main component
of which is freedom and choice- have done so with cash flow. It's the
regular money that trickles in a bit at a time, month after month,
growing at or above the inflation rate and allowing you to - in many
cases - have the choice to work, reinvest, pay-down the loan or take
free time and so on.
It's
income which is there whether you work or not: it's passive income not
tied to your direct employment: and it's wonderful thing.
I
remember reading a real estate investment book from the Rich Dad, Poor
Dad series: at one point Robert mentioned that he wanted to buy a
Porsche sports car, but instead of putting the money directly into a
car - a depreciating asset - he used the money to buy a property and
used the income, the cash flow from that property to pay for the loan
he got on the car. What a great way for a non-depreciation asset to
pay for a depreciating asset and you get multiple benefits of doing
this. Well, for a long time this was not possible, but it is now
possible to do just that.
In
this part of the real estate cycle there is an abundance of single
family homes, small and medium sized multifamily properties that
provide an investor with cash flow from the time of purchase or shortly
after the purchase, this is even more achievable with the current
historically low interest rate financing.
We
are a ways from the up cycle in real estate and the current economy
will not help: this is going to be a long bottom but it does not mean
that you should not invest - quite the opposite - it is when everyone
else is scared that you should be buying because you're buying for a
discount. Investors need to change the way of thinking and making
decisions and not be afraid to go it alone, against the crowd into the
cash flow economy. |