Arcadia & Biltmore Neighborhoods Home Sales Update
February 07, 2009
Market Report for 85016 and 85018 zip codes for January 2009
In Greater Phoenix it's primarily REO's that are being sold: 67% of all sales in January. As you move up the the price bracket REO sales decrease but they are still high: even in the Biltmore area and the Arcadia Neighborhood. I start out with the REO's because they play such a significant part in the market now.
In January 43%-45% of homes sold in the subject areas were lender owned. 30%-36% were pre-foreclosure sales which include short sales. So about 80% of all sales were distressed sales: that is significant.
It's not that there are no normal homes for sale: 70% of the homes for sale are normal, it's that lenders want to remove real estate from their books and sell it for less drawing in the buyers.
Lets take a look at sales for each neighborhood individually. All data is for single family homes from the ARMLS.
Arcadia.
85018 | January 2009 | January 2008 | January 2007 |
Active | 352 | 356 | 244 |
Pending | 28 | 25 | 32 |
Sold | 20 | 13 | 28 |
1 year Sold | 303 | 334 | 402 |
Median $/SF | $268.00 | $292.00 | $310.00 |
Median Price | $395,000 | $489,000 | $530,000 |
5.7 % of the supply sold in January putting supply at 17.6 months: still high and still in buyer market territory.
A high supply is driving the prices down, especially the supply of 23 lender owned homes in Arcadia plus 36 pre-foreclosure some of which will come back as REO's for a lower price in the near future.
Expect pricing pressure to continue throughout 2009, especially since this is the year of foreclosures.
Biltmore:
85016 | January 2009 | January 2008 | January 2007 |
Active | 243 | 224 | 177 |
Pending | 27 | 16 | 21 |
Sold | 14 | 16 | 15 |
1 year sold | 212 | 238 | 305 |
Median $/SF | $215.00 | $277.00 | $249.00 |
Median Price | $220,000 | $329,000 | $300,000 |
The median price in the Biltmore area is down significantly: it's lower by 59% per square foot and 33% based on annual median price. That's a huge drop over just one year.
In reality it's lower because higher price homes sales as a percentage of all sales is down so there are more lower priced homes selling brining the price median price down: it does not mean your home dropped 59% in value.
The supply is high at 17.4 months. This is up a lot over last months 8.8 months and 14 months last year. So just like Arcadia prices will probably slide down a bit further
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